SelfGuide

PreLab: Sketching a Graph of Your Hypothesis

Now that you have formed a hypothesis concerning relationship of the independent variable(s) and dependent variable, it might be a good idea to sketch out what this relationship might be. These sketches can be on grid or plain paper. They should only take a minute to draw. Notice in the examples below that no tick marks are measured out on scales nor are specific points plotted on the graph. The graph's purpose is to express a rough idea of what you think the trend in the data will be.

The first decision you need to make is whether you think there is a relationship between the variable or not. That is, will changes in the value of the independent variable affect the value of the dependent variable? If you think there is a relationship, then the next decision may be to decide whether this relationship is linear or governed by a higher order (curved) relationship.

No Relationship

 

If you think there is no relationship, then changes in value of the independent (x) variable will not affect the value of the dependent variable. The dependent variable value might be zero, a constant positive value, or constant negative value. It might be that there are other factors/variables that affect the dependent variable values, but it will be up to you to rule these out.

Linear Relationships

Another possibility is that you have hypothesized a linear relationship between the independent and dependent variables. If there is a positive relationship, then increases in the independent variable would lead to a proportional increase in the dependent variable. Your graph might look like the one above.

If you think that there will be a negative relationship between the variables, then increases in the independent variable will lead to decreases in the dependent variable. Your graph might look like the one above.


Higher Order (curved) Relationship

If you think that there is a higher order relationship (e.g., the dependent variable increases with the square of the independent variable increase) between the independent and dependent variables, then you will need to express the relationship in the graph as a curve. The exact shape of the curve will depend on the mathematical relationship between the variables, but there are a few basic curve shapes.

With this shaped curve, positive increases in the independent variable lead to increasingly larger growth in the dependent variable. The curve may or may not get to the point that the curve is essentially vertical. At this point the curve would express that an infinitesimally small increase in X will lead to an infinitely large increase in Y. A curve that approaches vertical but never gets there is said to be asymptotic.

Another possibility is the reverse of the previously situation. Here increases in the independent variable lead to increasingly larger decreases in the dependent variable.

Another common type of asymptotic curve is one where the independent variable as less and less of an effect on the dependent variable. In this case the curve becomes closer and closer to horizontal as the independent variable gets larger, as it does above.

The reverse could also be true. In the curve above, as the independent variable grows, the dependent variable decreases less and less as it approaches a constant Y value.

Next Step

If you have more than one independent variable you have the choice of sketching multiple graphs for each pair of independent and dependent variable, or sketching all the lines on a single graph. In this case you will have to label or code the individual lines. Both approaches have their merits. In the first case, you can focus in on each pairing of variables. In the latter case, you can see the relationship of the curves to each other as the independent variables are changed.

With a graph or graphs sketched out, you can begin to collect data from the lab with some prediction of how you think the data will map onto a graph. It is important that you don't attempt to manipulate the data you collect to fit some predefined line. Rather, this pre-graphing exercise helps further cement in your mind what you think the implications your hypothesis are to the data you are about to collect.

 

 
 
 

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